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#1 30-03-2024 07:48:23
- xocahej904
- Membre
Singapore Real Estate Market
There has been reason to believe that the year of 2014 could be a turbulent year for the real estate market in Singapore.
There are going to be a considerable number of new properties that will flood the market. Government data indicates that 82,575 new, private residential units are expected to be built between 2014 and 2018. That means an annual rise in the supply of property of around 20,000 units; approximately double the average over the last 10 years. But are buyers listening? Prospective homeowners are reluctant to shell out premium prices for seemingly inflated housing assets. Furthermore, it is expected that the market will see a further onslaught of properties for sale with more resale units being available on account of the expiration of the four-year seller stamp duty. The supply glut is expected to put the Singapore real estate market - especially in luxury developments - in a precarious situation. Luxury property developers in Singapore are facing the most depressing sales forecast in six years as a flurry of government measures look to cool one of the most expensive real estate markets in the world. Land prices in some parts of Singapore are climbing at three times the pace of apartment costs, with plot values rising by an average of 30 percent per annum since early 2011. The increase in the cost of land ownership is creating margin pressures on developers. On top, lack of demand and rising risk of penalties on unsold units within two years of completion is putting further pressure on developers.
Low interest rates in the range of 1.5% to 3% over the past few years led to ample liquidity which resulted in banks meting out extremely favourable lending conditions to Singaporeans. If people were swayed by this and over stretched themselves either by investing in several properties or acquiring debt far beyond their means, it is only expected that they will have a rough time in the current real estate scenario. The market would see these properties back for sale in a bid to reduce its owners' financial strain. This backed with the fact that the pool of potential property buyers has shrunk immensely will further apply brakes to the already slowing real estate market.
However, one can observe an interesting trend in the prices of listed real estate developers. In a period as short as the first four months of 2014, private transactions hit a record US$7.94 billion as compared with only US$10 million during the same period in the year gone by.These deals were seen in the capital markets as investors are likely betting on attractive entry point valuations as share prices of traded real estate developers have slumped. Declines in the share prices of listed real-estate companies appear to have exceeded the fall in prices in the underlying property markets, providing an opportunity for long term capital market investors to enter these stocks.
CapitaLand Ltd., Southeast Asia's largest property developer by virtue of market value offered to take CapitaMalls Asia Ltd. (in which it owns a majority stake of 65.3%) private for a staggering price of US$2.44 billion. Another key development is the offer of US$1.6 billion for Hotel Properties Limited by a consortium that includes Wheelock Properties (Singapore) Ltd., the Singaporean unit of a Hong Kong real-estate firm, and Cuscaden Partners Pte.. Long term investors seem to be taking note of lowprices and are betting that the market sentiments will return to normalcy in the longer term.
In a bid to tame down housing inflation, Singapore has introduced measures that limit mortgages, require higher down payments, impose new taxes and cut sales of residential plots. While Real Estate developers are anticipating prices to fall due to the measures, ithas not stopped them from buying more land. Recent bids for land are an indication of high competition for land bank amongst developers as they continue to place aggressive bids to restock their declining inventories despite a drab outlook for the property prices.
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#2 30-03-2024 08:01:09
- xocahej904
- Membre
Re: Singapore Real Estate Market
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#7 31-03-2024 18:06:12
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